PushinPsforMaine
0x81d131a7b47d012ac448c165a41b152ecf9b4e30
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $587.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,044
- Open portfolio
- $67.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,044
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$687.14at 0.705Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$493.78at 0.640Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$421.21at 0.508Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$414.13at 0.817Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$338.75at 0.190Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 12:52 | Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election? | SELL | 0.0035050354 | $0.16 |
| 05-30 21:55 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0110001879 | $5.27 |
| 05-30 14:24 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | SELL | 0.5706223437 | $37.59 |
| 05-30 13:29 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.24 |
| 05-29 21:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $1000.00 |
| 05-29 21:45 | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 05-29 19:49 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $56.00 |
| 05-29 16:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY | 0.12 | $36.00 |
| 05-29 16:35 | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 05-29 16:23 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 05-29 16:12 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | SELL | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 05-29 16:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 05-29 15:34 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY | 0.696 | $34.80 |
| 05-29 15:33 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 05-29 15:33 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |