Alex.liu
0x81d0be57287a3bc25571aad6b7fa36aa2c8cec37
- Realised P&L
- $-112.33
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.21at 0.049Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$15.73at 0.395Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$4.92at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$4.91at 0.510LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$4.53at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 10:39 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 09:59 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4699999888 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 17:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1399999994 | $19.94 |
| 09-16 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.57 |
| 09-16 07:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 07:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $6.00 |
| 09-16 07:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $3.80 |
| 09-16 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $3.32 |
| 09-16 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 07:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |