FFLP2
0x81d07b34aac4b36da52c5e6ec8390006797eb075
- Realised P&L
- $-7.76
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $123.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)5.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.943 | 0.826 | $82.60 | −$11.70 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? · Yes | 0.968 | 0.978 | $39.10 | +$0.38 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.045 | $2.25 | −$0.25 |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.66at 0.180Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?
- +$0.59at 0.090Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?
- +$-0.00at 0.001Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?
- +$-0.00at 0.020Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?
- +$-0.00at 0.060Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | BUY | 0.963 | $38.52 |
| 10-14 05:36 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 10-14 05:18 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31? | SELL | 0.095 | $1.90 |
| 10-14 05:18 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31? | SELL | 0.095 | $1.90 |
| 10-14 05:18 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31? | SELL | 0.105 | $2.10 |
| 10-14 05:17 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 05:17 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 05:17 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 05:16 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-13 15:35 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-12 10:14 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.30 |
| 10-10 09:33 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 10-09 15:52 | Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.54 |
| 10-09 13:28 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.42 |
| 10-09 07:26 | Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.62 |