0x81cd9fe3878b21f762da68dc7eacb6a2d1698f0e
0x81cd9fe3878b21f762da68dc7eacb6a2d1698f0e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.17
- Volume
- $104.22
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.620 | 1.000 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs · Cloud9 | 0.543 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.01at 0.993Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?
- +$-0.34at 0.114Will the Republican Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$-0.83at 0.340US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 20:42 | LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:40 | LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:39 | LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:39 | Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 10:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.59 |
| 10-03 10:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.59 |
| 10-03 10:06 | Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $0.98 |
| 10-03 10:06 | Will the Republican Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.58 |
| 09-26 17:51 | Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 16:50 | Will the Republican Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.58 |
| 09-25 10:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.00 |