PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flawed-origin

0x81ccba8a9db005c7a6b6d8921f26b313e8089bf7

Realised P&L
$742.65
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$523.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027? · Yes0.6480.705$217.58+$17.59
Will SZA headline Coachella 2027? · Yes0.4400.610$151.17+$42.07
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? · No0.8400.770$92.40−$8.40
Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? · Yes0.6500.700$62.65+$4.47
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner · LOS0.3820.000$0.00−$859.83
Will BNB dip to $600 in October? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$9.88
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m? · Yes0.2560.000$0.00−$56.99
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$11.30
Will BNB dip to $300 in October? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$12.25
Will BNB dip to $400 in October? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$2.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 21:44LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSELL0.999$619.04
10-31 20:56Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?SELL0.94$112.79
10-31 00:09LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6$1.5k
10-30 23:31Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?BUY0.8779974408$109.78
10-30 23:04LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSELL0.999$2.9k
10-30 22:31LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.57$316.57
10-30 22:30LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.77$390.13
10-30 22:29LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.83$1.1k
10-30 21:27LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.37$546.95
10-30 21:26LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.41$211.23
10-30 21:25LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3901791295$139.84
10-30 15:59Will SZA headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.4697584777$19.26
10-30 15:55Will SZA headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.4344108688$89.85
10-30 15:54Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.65$58.18
10-30 15:54Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.6479936491$199.98