0x81C7Edd263E55812568C1A7e8C115285fF0C5df1-1770498134745
0x81c7edd263e55812568c1a7e8c115285ff0c5df1
- Realised P&L
- $-15.87
- Volume
- $456.86
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.013 | $2.38 | −$7.62 |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.004 | $0.51 | −$14.41 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up | 0.521 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.04at 0.360Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 23:05 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.0524535783 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 23:03 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 21:59 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 04-21 21:28 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 04-12 02:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $0.93 |
| 03-27 00:13 | Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.1316445042 | $14.92 |