zorgswan
0x81c630242785a02f5af78a3691c1e3255582e5a4
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $15.46
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $9.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration84.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15? · No | 0.670 | 0.765 | $7.65 | +$0.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.255 | $1.39 | −$0.30 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 09:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.69 |
| 10-14 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |