0x81c1ff9d26ce77bb94b8410f79d8e96bf9e9128b
0x81c1ff9d26ce77bb94b8410f79d8e96bf9e9128b
- Realised P&L
- $2.63
- Volume
- $346.76
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $7.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.930 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.880 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.275 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.430 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.205 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.260 | 0.120 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.135 | $0.42 | −$0.58 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.180 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.32at 0.420US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$4.38at 0.349Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$4.01at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$3.53at 0.400S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?
- +$3.24at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 07:05 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 23:04 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:24 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:02 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:27 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:50 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 06:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 22:27 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 08:08 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 00:08 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:07 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:46 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:40 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |