ivybaby01
0x81b71c7cdef789b767ce95a286120a0c5efdd59f
- Realised P&L
- $-29.29
- Volume
- $74.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,116
- Open portfolio
- $438.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,116
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.00at 0.210Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$57.00at 0.430Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$56.00at 0.440Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
- +$44.86at 0.289Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$42.11at 0.228Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 06:15 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.213 | $1.06 |
| 08-06 06:15 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.553 | $27.65 |
| 08-06 03:37 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.556 | $27.80 |
| 08-03 02:07 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.214 | $1.07 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-02 12:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 11:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 11:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 08-02 11:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 08-02 11:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |