ivybaby01
0x81b71c7cdef789b767ce95a286120a0c5efdd59f
- Realised P&L
- $-251.98
- Volume
- $85.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,183
- Open portfolio
- $79.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,183
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.00at 0.210Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$57.00at 0.430Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$55.26at 0.447Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
- +$44.86at 0.288Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$42.11at 0.228Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 14:13 | Will 007 First Light win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.49 |
| 08-20 14:13 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.19 |
| 08-20 09:58 | Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.083 | $5.31 |
| 08-15 11:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 08-06 06:15 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.213 | $1.06 |
| 08-06 06:15 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.553 | $27.65 |
| 08-06 03:37 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.556 | $27.80 |
| 08-03 02:07 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.214 | $1.07 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-02 12:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |