PolyBot

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Traders

ivybaby01

0x81b71c7cdef789b767ce95a286120a0c5efdd59f

Realised P&L
$-251.98
Volume
$85.1k
Markets traded
1,183
Open portfolio
$79.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,183
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0200.180$5.45+$4.83
Will Larry Ellison be 3rd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0000.396$4.61+$4.61
Will Phil Lord or Christopher Miller win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0200.056$2.97+$1.91
Will Jesse Eisenberg win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0200.045$2.87+$1.61
Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2027? · No0.0440.105$2.42+$1.40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0300.037$2.18+$0.41
Will Dandelion (Ella Langley) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.0000.041$2.05+$2.05
Will Confessions II (Madonna) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.0000.054$2.04+$2.04
Will Danielle Deadwyler win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0320.033$1.79+$0.06
Will Whalefall win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0200.034$1.68+$0.68
Will Cairn win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0150.059$1.62+$1.22
Will David Hockney be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0230.043$1.56+$0.74
Will Control Resonant win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0440.031$1.55$0.65
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0500.155$1.55+$1.05
Will Fellowship win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0440.032$1.41$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 14:13Will 007 First Light win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.09$2.49
08-20 14:13Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.27$4.19
08-20 09:58Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.083$5.31
08-15 11:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.75$3.75
08-06 06:15Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.213$1.06
08-06 06:15Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.553$27.65
08-06 03:37Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.556$27.80
08-03 02:07Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.214$1.07
08-02 13:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.47$2.35
08-02 13:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.45$2.25
08-02 13:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.33$1.65
08-02 13:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.32$1.60
08-02 13:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.32$1.60
08-02 12:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.49$2.45
08-02 12:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.32$1.60