fibking
0x81b1e8176cb845e23271009fa40ae2461b2774eb
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $230.3k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $5.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$977.89at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$749.04at 0.126Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?
- +$695.78at 0.129Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?
- +$652.33at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$625.54at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 18:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.0303215705 | $151.24 |
| 09-01 18:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.039 | $120.55 |
| 05-04 17:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? | BUY | 0.08 | $14.66 |
| 05-04 17:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY | 0.1417769667 | $42.53 |
| 05-04 17:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $23.00 |
| 04-17 09:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $44.41 |
| 04-09 03:13 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.5809537333 | $435.72 |
| 04-09 03:10 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.08 | $60.00 |
| 04-08 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $27.60 |
| 04-08 20:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | SELL | 0.6426980358 | $89.33 |
| 04-08 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $135.18 |
| 04-08 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $265.00 |
| 04-08 19:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $166.60 |
| 04-08 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $44.11 |
| 04-08 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $8.57 |