sumsum84
0x81a821e19068639c0f13047e85d6a46187c59c69
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $532.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,281
- Open portfolio
- $378.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,281
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers · Celtics | 0.580 | 0.585 | $337.55 | +$2.88 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? · No | 0.270 | 0.265 | $41.34 | −$0.78 |
| Bucks vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$559.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$980.13at 0.356Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$931.55at 0.160Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-07?
- +$837.36at 0.415Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$751.91at 0.480Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer
- +$690.56at 0.460Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 18:42 | Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorer | SELL | 0.58 | $1.35 |
| 10-06 18:36 | Alex Baena: Anytime Goalscorer | SELL | 0.7 | $1.01 |
| 10-06 18:19 | Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer | SELL | 0.32 | $5.94 |
| 10-06 13:06 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 13:05 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.56 | $108.15 |
| 10-06 13:01 | Will Russia win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.98 |
| 10-05 20:04 | Knicks vs. 76ers | SELL | 0.61 | $3.82 |
| 10-05 18:44 | Ousmane Dembélé: Anytime Goalscorer | SELL | 0.56 | $1.12 |
| 10-05 18:42 | Esteban Lepaul: Anytime Goalscorer | SELL | 0.57 | $1.27 |
| 10-05 18:26 | Romelu Lukaku: Anytime Goalscorer | SELL | 0.68 | $0.68 |
| 10-05 18:02 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.39 | $122.07 |
| 10-05 17:57 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.4 | $82.38 |
| 10-05 17:46 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.57 | $2.91 |
| 10-05 17:46 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.58 | $88.37 |
| 10-03 18:29 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.56 |