PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

elrah

0x81a6b35b86b36090d38779d717f2fe60f442b93b

Realised P&L
$-5.3k
Volume
$598.9k
Markets traded
716
Open portfolio
$11.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded716
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9390.935$1.4k$6.37
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.8600.545$1.3k$732.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · No0.9000.925$1.0k+$27.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · No0.9500.959$1.0k+$8.95
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · No0.7110.265$828.37$1.4k
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20? · No0.7910.884$703.75+$73.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · No0.9720.996$665.66+$15.66
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · No0.7470.255$611.14$1.2k
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21? · No0.9780.976$498.72$1.28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? · No0.7250.725$495.01+$0.07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22? · No0.9530.933$293.86$6.14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 23? · No0.9360.906$290.38$9.62
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 24? · No0.9200.879$286.83$13.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No0.9850.998$253.17+$3.17
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? · No0.9400.724$231.06$68.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 08:41Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20?SELL0.821$338.25
09-19 08:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 19?SELL0.941$470.74
09-19 07:43Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?BUY0.7248997525$494.94
09-18 17:07Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.95$1000.00
09-18 16:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20?BUY0.9470781771$300.00
09-18 16:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 19?BUY0.9796488427$400.00
09-18 16:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?BUY0.978$500.00
09-18 16:24Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22?BUY0.9529999999$300.00
09-18 16:24Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 23?BUY0.9359999999$300.00
09-18 16:24Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 24?BUY0.919895745$300.00
09-18 16:13Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 24?SELL0.4958052032$115.30
09-18 16:13Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23?SELL0.52$153.67
09-18 16:12Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 20?SELL0.521$225.48
09-18 16:07Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21?SELL0.5453240265$355.86
09-18 15:47Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?BUY0.8999999993$1.0k