0x81A6b35b86B36090d38779d717F2fe60f442b93B-1775907865842
0x81a6b35b86b36090d38779d717f2fe60f442b93b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $80.1k
- Markets traded
- 481
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded481
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.28at 0.940US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$183.49at 0.630Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?
- +$138.87at 0.910Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 28?
- +$133.12at 0.571Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?
- +$125.53at 0.940US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 23:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999972 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 23:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $86.05 |
| 08-04 23:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 23:46 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 23:42 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 23:35 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 23:34 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 23:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.9786299181 | $500.00 |
| 08-04 23:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9299999991 | $500.00 |
| 08-03 21:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.9774710505 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 08:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9489999988 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 15:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.9099999998 | $39.93 |
| 07-31 15:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 07:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.990009901 | $999.91 |