PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shadukered

0x81a47d6166fbd5330a7200afe15ef04b5055b648

Realised P&L
$-607.44
Volume
$21.9k
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$15.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.1410.169$12.77+$2.10
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.2800.260$0.93$0.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25? · No0.1600.105$0.66$0.34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25? · Yes0.1720.091$0.53$0.47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? · No0.1620.045$0.28$0.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$3.50
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina0.2100.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? · No0.2080.000$0.00$6.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Senegal? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31? · Yes0.1390.000$0.00$12.11
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?SELL0.19$0.79
09-22 01:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-21 16:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.161999987$1.00
09-21 14:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?BUY0.16$1.00
09-21 14:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?BUY0.1719999849$1.00
09-21 08:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?SELL0.912$2.60
09-21 04:26Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.164999988$2.00
09-21 04:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?SELL0.32$0.97
09-20 17:49Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-20 13:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-20 06:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-20 04:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?SELL0.4$1.48
09-19 14:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-19 14:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-19 14:08Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.1489999999$5.00