EMMA555
0x8198698995a7e117bb86bb6a09bdda4a36a82528
- Realised P&L
- $7.31
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $0.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.003 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card) · Gerald Meerschaert | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.48at 0.030Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$2.27at 0.947US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
- +$1.27at 0.440Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$0.99at 0.978Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?
- +$0.79at 0.983Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $60.00 |
| 05-14 13:08 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999857 | $50.00 |
| 05-14 12:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.987 | $30.40 |
| 05-05 14:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.9739999779 | $30.00 |
| 05-05 14:12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on May 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 05-05 14:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 04-27 10:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $106.64 |
| 04-27 10:06 | Madrid Open: Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.91 | $0.99 |
| 04-27 09:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.097 | $0.94 |
| 04-24 14:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.9989999985 | $112.70 |
| 04-24 14:47 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-24 14:44 | UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1652172692 | $0.95 |
| 04-24 14:39 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 on April 24? | BUY | 0.9982018367 | $99.97 |
| 04-24 14:34 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $49.97 |
| 04-24 14:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2069998733 | $0.92 |