Toomuchwinning1
0x81924e30a4fe9e1eb715ade61296be6fa74c0664
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $1.15M
- Markets traded
- 1,507
- Open portfolio
- $4.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,507
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.40at 0.005Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$249.23at 0.083Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
- +$123.99at 0.895Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
- +$68.05at 0.073Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
- +$66.77at 0.179Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:24 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.072 | $0.16 |
| 08-02 19:23 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.20 |
| 08-02 19:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.70 |
| 08-02 02:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.20 |
| 08-02 01:34 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? | BUY | 0.0322871021 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:34 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |