Salmanzk.eth
0x818f002dd5e5db9c1f4388d0f54fa4c566084041
- Realised P&L
- $-65.80
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $63.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AlloX launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.662 | 0.725 | $36.25 | +$3.14 |
| Will AlloX launch a token by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.765 | $26.77 | +$10.68 |
| Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.74 |
| Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.766 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.05 |
| Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.12 |
| Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.970Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$-1.00at 0.027No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
- +$-1.00at 0.004Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$-13.00at 0.094Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 10:40 | Will AlloX launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $16.86 |
| 10-20 20:13 | Will AlloX launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $36.15 |
| 10-19 13:40 | Will AlloX launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $10.10 |
| 10-19 13:28 | Will AlloX launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $57.50 |
| 05-02 10:03 | Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.766 | $6.05 |
| 05-02 10:01 | Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 05-02 09:59 | Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.46 |
| 03-29 13:32 | Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.25 |
| 03-29 13:29 | Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.008 | $7.54 |
| 03-29 13:27 | Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.94 |
| 02-13 12:59 | Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6976111529 | $333.00 |
| 01-24 15:12 | Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0936672983 | $13.00 |
| 12-10 15:52 | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.00 |
| 12-10 15:48 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 12-10 15:47 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |