0x818df95a001f0233b5f099cdc970c203f3eb3860
0x818df95a001f0233b5f099cdc970c203f3eb3860
- Realised P&L
- $-499.64
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 468
- Open portfolio
- $50.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded468
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.245 | $14.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $14.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.455 | $10.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Raja Club Athletic end in a draw? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.635 | $8.36 | +$3.36 |
| Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.055 | $2.12 | −$7.88 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.29at 0.386Will United States win on 2026-10-03?
- +$66.09at 0.141Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?
- +$57.83at 0.470Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$47.46at 0.312Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-10-04?
- +$46.33at 0.259Will Suriname vs. Guatemala end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:19 | Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.45999999 | $11.00 |
| 10-08 20:14 | Will Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 20:14 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 20:08 | Will Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Raja Club Athletic end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 20:08 | Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 20:39 | Will Clube do Remo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 20:39 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 20:38 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $15.00 |
| 10-07 20:38 | Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 20:42 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 10-06 20:37 | Will Albania vs. San Marino end in a draw? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.88 |