PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

plms365

0x818c9d01a3ccd2582dd0ff508baa62b6f5560e7f

Realised P&L
$-66.54
Volume
$15.5k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$121.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 2? · Yes0.4640.825$21.89+$9.57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3? · Yes0.2090.200$15.68−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 3? · Yes0.5970.565$14.89−$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3? · Yes0.4540.405$14.46−$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3? · Yes0.6500.630$9.83−$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3? · Yes0.2380.200$9.56−$1.81
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 3? · Yes0.5730.555$8.32−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 2? · Yes0.3190.155$5.49−$5.80
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 3? · Yes0.2870.230$5.00−$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3? · Yes0.9200.955$4.78+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 2? · Yes0.3100.530$2.65+$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 2? · Yes0.0050.001$1.92−$18.77
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 3? · Yes0.0500.035$1.60−$0.65
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 2? · Yes0.2040.110$1.38−$1.17
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 2? · Yes0.4550.018$0.82−$19.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 20:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3?BUY0.2023913014$3.99
10-02 20:03Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 2?SELL0.99$38.14
10-02 19:33Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3?BUY0.2270959504$3.91
10-02 19:33Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3?BUY0.2247647945$6.44
10-02 18:51Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2?SELL0.9968225$19.94
10-02 18:47Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on October 2?BUY0.1399999905$1.77
10-02 18:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3?BUY0.17$1.02
10-02 18:17Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3?BUY0.65$6.89
10-02 18:13Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3?BUY0.22$3.85
10-02 18:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 3?BUY0.05$1.25
10-02 18:05Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 3?BUY0.59$5.31
10-02 18:05Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?BUY0.46$6.67
10-02 18:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 2?BUY0.001$1.35
10-02 17:51Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 3?BUY0.6$7.41
10-02 17:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?BUY0.45$7.29