plms365
0x818c9d01a3ccd2582dd0ff508baa62b6f5560e7f
- Realised P&L
- $-66.54
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $121.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.91at 0.503Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 2?
- +$18.28at 0.505Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 2?
- +$17.42at 0.315Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2?
- +$16.96at 0.549Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 2?
- +$12.83at 0.643Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2023913014 | $3.99 |
| 10-02 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.99 | $38.14 |
| 10-02 19:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2270959504 | $3.91 |
| 10-02 19:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2247647945 | $6.44 |
| 10-02 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.9968225 | $19.94 |
| 10-02 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.1399999905 | $1.77 |
| 10-02 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 10-02 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.89 |
| 10-02 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.85 |
| 10-02 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.25 |
| 10-02 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.31 |
| 10-02 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.46 | $6.67 |
| 10-02 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.35 |
| 10-02 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.6 | $7.41 |
| 10-02 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.45 | $7.29 |