0x8189a7559789f592b958963f3b5519188b59a808
0x8189a7559789f592b958963f3b5519188b59a808
- Realised P&L
- $-512.22
- Volume
- $44.6k
- Markets traded
- 311
- Open portfolio
- $26.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded311
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.47at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 20?
- +$38.12at 0.385Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 18?
- +$32.70at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?
- +$29.75at 0.456Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 14?
- +$26.74at 0.333Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0380843569 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3760362148 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.3316633267 | $3.31 |
| 09-17 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2502486429 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 03:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.1578905818 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.4377717331 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $14.00 |
| 08-31 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 29? | SELL | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 08-29 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 29? | SELL | 0.122900232 | $2.12 |