0x8189a7559789f592b958963f3b5519188b59a808
- Realised P&L
- $-451.50
- Volume
- $32.8k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $17.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.40at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?
- +$19.16at 0.304Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?
- +$15.88at 0.449Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 1?
- +$15.16at 0.481Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?
- +$10.63at 0.320Spread: England (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4860942031 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5394782393 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.24 |
| 08-04 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.19 |
| 08-03 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.39 | $5.11 |
| 08-02 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.48 | $5.10 |
| 08-02 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3699999272 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.25 |
| 08-01 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.06 |