PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x81839FBA00cFaF320870c4850692A980069322EC-1772465135063

0x81839fba00cfaf320870c4850692a980069322ec

Realised P&L
$-19.49
Volume
$8.1k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$82.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 15:10Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?SELL0.999$124.88
10-18 13:06Paris curfew by October 31?BUY0.3399999927$15.00
10-15 12:14Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.1037945303$20.00
10-14 06:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
10-14 06:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.1189999992$10.00
10-14 06:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.1159999994$10.00
10-07 22:35Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
10-06 07:22Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?SELL0.91$37.39
10-05 15:28Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.844$21.36
09-20 13:31Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.5103382721$93.69
09-13 19:09Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.64$5.00
09-09 16:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-07 13:13Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5199999834$5.00
09-06 15:15Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?BUY0.6299999811$5.00
09-04 07:26Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.7299999942$30.00