0x81839FBA00cFaF320870c4850692A980069322EC-1772465135063
0x81839fba00cfaf320870c4850692a980069322ec
- Realised P&L
- $-19.49
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $82.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.75at 0.160Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
- +$60.85at 0.169Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$53.64at 0.570Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- +$45.38at 0.432Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
- +$44.18at 0.490Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 15:10 | Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.999 | $124.88 |
| 10-18 13:06 | Paris curfew by October 31? | BUY | 0.3399999927 | $15.00 |
| 10-15 12:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.1037945303 | $20.00 |
| 10-14 06:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 06:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.1189999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 06:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.1159999994 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 22:35 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 07:22 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | SELL | 0.91 | $37.39 |
| 10-05 15:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.844 | $21.36 |
| 09-20 13:31 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.5103382721 | $93.69 |
| 09-13 19:09 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 13:13 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 15:15 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 07:26 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $30.00 |