0x8182EdF63B4BF520Dbd0D23c7817a92E5B54Bb86-1783327644651
0x8182edf63b4bf520dbd0d23c7817a92e5b54bb86
- Realised P&L
- $-16.83
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.01at 0.740Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$21.03at 0.201Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
- +$19.30at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$18.12at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
- +$15.88at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.1538461538 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 12:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 12:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 11:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 11:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 10:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 01:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 01:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5188999176 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $9.80 |
| 10-03 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999997 | $30.00 |