troyanick
0x8182a7354c99f8338eeb3112b09db6dafa2eb13c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $78.3k
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $87.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$176.15at 0.517Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
- +$156.02at 0.737Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$144.60at 0.630Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?
- +$126.50at 0.846Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09?
- +$110.02at 0.647Will Philippines win on 2026-06-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 20:53 | Will Deportes Quindio win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 20:46 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 20:35 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.81 |
| 09-28 20:33 | Will Guadeloupe win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.21 | $5.38 |
| 09-28 20:31 | Will CD Castellón win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.70 |
| 09-28 20:28 | Will Suriname win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 20:06 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.42 | $6.37 |
| 09-28 19:56 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.42 | $6.37 |
| 09-28 19:08 | Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.77 |
| 09-28 19:08 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.14 |
| 09-28 18:16 | Will Guadeloupe win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 18:11 | Will Internacional FC De Palmira win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 18:07 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 18:06 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.52 |
| 09-28 17:51 | Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.99 | $23.56 |