ismygou
0x818099fb1ea4acbadb9f6d57849cd4690c35b941
- Realised P&L
- $-5.74
- Volume
- $162.47
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $4.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.265 | $1.95 | +$0.55 |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.825 | $1.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.280 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.044 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will Endrick win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.25at 0.575Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$1.52at 0.726Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$1.34at 0.438Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?
- +$1.00at 0.280 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$0.98at 0.510Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 14:10 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5674999839 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 19:18 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7199999712 | $4.00 |
| 07-01 12:39 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699998614 | $3.00 |
| 06-17 12:47 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.00 |
| 06-11 18:06 | Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 19:19 | Will Endrick win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0782983166 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 12:11 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 05-12 13:01 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 13:32 | Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.1899998914 | $1.40 |
| 05-07 13:30 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.93 |
| 05-04 17:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:56 | Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:56 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 20:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 20:35 | Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.1% and 1.4%? | BUY | 0.3989998659 | $1.00 |