PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ismygou

0x818099fb1ea4acbadb9f6d57849cd4690c35b941

Realised P&L
$-5.74
Volume
$162.47
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$4.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores? · Yes0.1900.265$1.95+$0.55
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5900.825$1.40+$0.40
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? · Yes0.5200.280$0.54−$0.46
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1800.044$0.25−$0.75
Will Endrick win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 14:10Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.5674999839$3.00
07-01 19:18Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7199999712$4.00
07-01 12:39Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7699998614$3.00
06-17 12:47 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.56$2.00
06-11 18:06Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
06-10 19:19Will Endrick win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0782983166$3.00
06-10 12:11Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?SELL0.15$0.75
05-12 13:01Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
05-07 13:32Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?BUY0.1899998914$1.40
05-07 13:30Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.13$0.93
05-04 17:43Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
05-01 14:56Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?BUY0.52$1.00
05-01 14:56Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?BUY0.2$1.00
04-30 20:46Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
04-30 20:35Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.1% and 1.4%?BUY0.3989998659$1.00