75usdc
0x817fb2fbff81cd0c61d3f63b8c37a468f5febf28
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $217.8k
- Markets traded
- 538
- Open portfolio
- $142.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded538
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.845 | $113.03 | +$58.63 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.150 | $19.42 | −$42.15 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.993 | $9.93 | +$5.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$402.70at 0.197Will CZ post 40-59 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
- +$385.17at 0.301Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$320.69at 0.306Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$220.09at 0.312Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$212.36at 0.470Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:56 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 10-05 01:58 | Will Ted Lasso be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.09 |
| 10-04 13:10 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $32.56 |
| 10-04 13:09 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $49.00 |
| 10-04 13:04 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.4371428571 | $61.20 |
| 10-04 10:45 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $35.52 |
| 10-04 10:14 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.5438617886 | $133.79 |
| 10-04 10:10 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $35.56 |
| 10-04 07:22 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.315 | $12.60 |
| 10-04 03:56 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.4405957713 | $91.48 |
| 10-04 02:14 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3654794521 | $53.36 |
| 10-04 01:53 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $28.80 |
| 10-04 01:41 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $53.58 |
| 10-04 01:23 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.4753078333 | $285.18 |
| 10-03 15:57 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3215688735 | $40.99 |