0x817a887d7f9ea373a3337c8c520fd3e9bee90266
0x817a887d7f9ea373a3337c8c520fd3e9bee90266
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $589.4k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $246.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.011 | $246.85 | −$27.05 |
| Exact Score: Wales 1 - 2 Norway? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Exact Score: Wales 0 - 1 Norway? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.4kat 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$7.3kat 0.124Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
- +$4.4kat 0.367Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
- +$1.5kat 0.084Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?
- +$561.46at 0.115Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 16:31 | Exact Score: Wales 0 - 1 Norway? | BUY | 0.1 | $76.41 |
| 10-01 16:31 | Exact Score: Wales 1 - 2 Norway? | BUY | 0.11 | $250.00 |
| 10-01 09:08 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.0092475085 | $72.47 |
| 09-30 00:13 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.0090101503 | $282.43 |
| 09-29 19:42 | Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.0334218235 | $69.78 |
| 08-22 12:00 | Exact Score: Hull City AFC 1 - 1 Manchester United FC? | BUY | 0.2099999994 | $250.00 |
| 08-22 11:59 | Exact Score: Hull City AFC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC? | BUY | 0.2 | $250.00 |
| 08-22 00:49 | Exact Score: Hull City AFC 0 - 2 Manchester United FC? | BUY | 0.1299999996 | $250.00 |
| 08-22 00:48 | Exact Score: Hull City AFC 0 - 3 Manchester United FC? | BUY | 0.1 | $400.00 |
| 07-24 18:20 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $80.00 |
| 07-24 16:08 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0125598626 | $445.00 |
| 07-19 14:42 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0419999999 | $500.00 |
| 07-19 14:22 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $500.00 |
| 07-18 22:54 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $250.00 |
| 07-18 22:53 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0229224785 | $250.00 |