PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dailyDumDum

0x817a5cc0233b086eaac6c2b533ac5f27dd376454

Realised P&L
$5.18
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$14.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes0.4350.350$14.00$3.40
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$14.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-06 19:16Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.9569999814$31.00
04-06 19:16Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?BUY0.7178084847$25.00
04-06 19:14Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?BUY0.8199999849$25.00
11-01 18:43Winning candidate also wins popular vote?BUY0.7$15.00
11-01 18:43Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?BUY0.6$15.00
06-23 18:57Labour wins a majority of seats in UK election? BUY0.9769999948$11.00
06-23 18:57Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?BUY0.9799999786$11.00
06-23 18:56Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election? BUY0.003$10.00
06-23 18:55Nvidia largest company next Friday?BUY0.8599998762$5.00
06-23 18:55Bitcoin all time high in June?BUY0.96$15.00
06-23 18:54Solana flips ETH in daily fees in June?BUY0.8599999989$15.00