dailyDumDum
0x817a5cc0233b086eaac6c2b533ac5f27dd376454
- Realised P&L
- $5.18
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $14.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes | 0.435 | 0.350 | $14.00 | −$3.40 |
| First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.00at 0.600Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?
- +$9.83at 0.718Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
- +$6.43at 0.700Winning candidate also wins popular vote?
- +$5.49at 0.820Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$2.44at 0.860Solana flips ETH in daily fees in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 19:16 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.9569999814 | $31.00 |
| 04-06 19:16 | Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election? | BUY | 0.7178084847 | $25.00 |
| 04-06 19:14 | Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | BUY | 0.8199999849 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 18:43 | Winning candidate also wins popular vote? | BUY | 0.7 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 18:43 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 06-23 18:57 | Labour wins a majority of seats in UK election? | BUY | 0.9769999948 | $11.00 |
| 06-23 18:57 | Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament? | BUY | 0.9799999786 | $11.00 |
| 06-23 18:56 | Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 18:55 | Nvidia largest company next Friday? | BUY | 0.8599998762 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 18:55 | Bitcoin all time high in June? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.00 |
| 06-23 18:54 | Solana flips ETH in daily fees in June? | BUY | 0.8599999989 | $15.00 |