nr456h46hdfhr5t
0x81761ae70ef561472b5f053609fa3c8e8296817a
- Realised P&L
- $-375.26
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $0.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.80 | −$3.40 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 3? · Up | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$354.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.26at 0.979Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 13?
- +$0.21at 0.993Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 23?
- +$0.17at 0.994Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 20?
- +$0.13at 0.996Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 31?
- +$0.12at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 06:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9939999559 | $11.50 |
| 08-12 06:44 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9982785161 | $31.70 |
| 08-11 06:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.40 |
| 08-11 05:52 | Will Solana reach $85 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.80 |
| 08-10 07:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 10? | BUY | 0.9989999839 | $11.80 |
| 08-10 07:07 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.90 |
| 08-06 06:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 6? | BUY | 0.995 | $11.90 |
| 08-06 06:55 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.50 |
| 07-31 06:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.40 |
| 07-31 06:54 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.60 |
| 07-30 07:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $13.60 |
| 07-30 07:19 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.60 |
| 07-29 06:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.90 |
| 07-29 06:05 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 29? | BUY | 0.998999998 | $33.90 |
| 07-27 08:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.80 |