ynklnkh
0x81717792b93c39de9923a776e493101c6165cde8
- Realised P&L
- $240.08
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $266.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$264.81at 0.180Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-11?
- +$158.74at 0.387Will Microsoft reach $495 in January?
- +$145.34at 0.820Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)
- +$139.54at 0.357Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 24?
- +$92.30at 0.870Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $156-$158 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 04:15 | Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 20 above $265? | BUY | 0.11 | $81.02 |
| 03-29 01:53 | Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.48 |
| 03-28 09:36 | Will Trump say "Low Energy" in March? | BUY | 0.1 | $31.80 |
| 03-24 14:05 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27? | BUY | 0.09 | $35.81 |
| 03-23 06:01 | Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27? | BUY | 0.11 | $20.14 |
| 03-16 01:22 | Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-21? | BUY | 0.2 | $32.66 |
| 03-14 14:57 | Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.28 | $281.26 |
| 03-11 05:52 | Will CD La Serena win on 2026-03-15? | BUY | 0.24 | $71.04 |
| 03-06 06:15 | Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-11? | BUY | 0.18 | $58.13 |
| 02-15 15:42 | Will the price of Solana be above $40 on February 17? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.15 |
| 02-15 13:02 | Will Marcus Flowers win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.026 | $3.64 |
| 02-15 12:50 | Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am? | BUY | 0.157 | $25.74 |
| 02-15 02:27 | Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP? | BUY | 0.056 | $12.72 |
| 02-14 10:03 | Spread: Levante UD (-2.5) | BUY | 0.058 | $8.46 |
| 02-14 09:59 | Will Common Side Effects win Best New Scripted Series at the 41st Film Independent Awards? | BUY | 0.088 | $15.67 |