khoiugjkn
0x816f70446b24b4fbc06e2042c904593bbf8af843
- Realised P&L
- $-280.22
- Volume
- $28.9k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $21.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.640 | 0.935 | $8.77 | +$2.77 |
| China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech · Petra Marcinko | 0.500 | 0.495 | $4.92 | −$0.05 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.879 | 0.966 | $4.37 | +$0.39 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.915 | $2.64 | +$0.65 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.048 | $0.50 | −$2.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.67at 0.452Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$15.61at 0.490Blue Jackets vs. Flyers
- +$6.36at 0.762Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$5.64at 0.780Pistons vs. Pelicans
- +$5.61at 0.667Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 07:21 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | SELL | 0.49 | $2.06 |
| 09-29 07:13 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | SELL | 0.49 | $7.77 |
| 09-29 06:31 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 21:40 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.45 | $4.43 |
| 08-12 21:39 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 | SELL | 0.2 | $5.45 |
| 08-12 17:48 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4599999687 | $2.06 |
| 08-12 17:43 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4599999181 | $2.47 |
| 08-12 16:05 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.549999989 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 14:37 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A | SELL | 0.999 | $4.47 |
| 08-12 13:06 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B | BUY | 0.2599999903 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 13:04 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A | SELL | 0.999 | $14.99 |
| 08-12 12:47 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.7699999954 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 23:19 | New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.4299999951 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 22:45 | National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff | BUY | 0.5 | $2.35 |
| 08-11 07:00 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11? | BUY | 0.679999976 | $6.79 |