0x816e1a873cb699132638e0859f249f1622a85b62
0x816e1a873cb699132638e0859f249f1622a85b62
- Realised P&L
- $-150.54
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,787
- Open portfolio
- $14.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,787
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.54at 0.547Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$7.43at 0.407BNB Up or Down - July 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$5.13at 0.582Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$4.61at 0.050Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.59at 0.584Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 00:43 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 07-29 23:48 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 07-29 22:48 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 07-29 22:43 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 07-29 22:14 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 07-29 21:48 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $4.36 |
| 07-29 21:43 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 07-29 21:27 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 07-29 09:27 | Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 21:37 | Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 20:56 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.237 | $2.59 |
| 07-27 15:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.271 | $1.35 |
| 07-27 15:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.26 |
| 07-26 19:44 | XRP Up or Down - July 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 19:04 | Solana Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $0.37 |