PolyBot

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Traders

0x816e1a873cb699132638e0859f249f1622a85b62

0x816e1a873cb699132638e0859f249f1622a85b62

Realised P&L
$-150.54
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
1,787
Open portfolio
$14.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,787
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · No0.6201.000$3.23+$1.23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 27? · No0.9301.000$2.15+$0.15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 25? · No0.9401.000$2.13+$0.13
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0220.019$1.77−$0.23
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0560.043$1.55−$0.45
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.028$1.40−$0.60
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0700.029$0.84−$1.16
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.0900.060$0.67−$0.33
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? · Yes0.1400.070$0.50−$0.50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6050.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4840.000$0.00−$2.00
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 00:43Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSELL0.12$0.60
07-29 23:48Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSELL0.19$0.95
07-29 22:48Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSELL0.04$0.20
07-29 22:43Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSELL0.21$1.05
07-29 22:14Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSELL0.03$0.15
07-29 21:48Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSELL0.88$4.36
07-29 21:43Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSELL0.08$0.40
07-29 21:27Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSELL0.72$3.60
07-29 09:27Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.229999916$2.00
07-28 21:37Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxBUY0.92$1.00
07-28 20:56Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.237$2.59
07-27 15:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.271$1.35
07-27 15:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.27$1.26
07-26 19:44XRP Up or Down - July 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.4799998272$1.00
07-26 19:04Solana Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSELL0.14$0.37