BigAII
0x8168195505c66cc4c2eff831e343ae936d1390e7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $380.7k
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $314.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.526 | 0.680 | $143.62 | +$32.57 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.115 | $115.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.482 | 0.285 | $55.52 | −$38.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.631Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$1.5kat 0.418Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.655USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$1.1kat 0.386Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$1.0kat 0.126Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 23:51 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 09-25 23:51 | Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $227.25 |
| 09-25 04:50 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $16.47 |
| 09-23 23:43 | Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $39.21 |
| 09-23 15:07 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-23 13:19 | Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.36 |
| 09-23 13:18 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $3.60 |
| 09-23 11:00 | Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $14.07 |
| 09-23 10:48 | Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $94.20 |
| 09-23 10:47 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 09-23 10:47 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $104.40 |
| 09-23 03:04 | Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $21.57 |
| 09-23 03:03 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 09-23 02:14 | Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.60 |
| 09-23 02:13 | Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $78.40 |