0x815692581c288675576761572f570395cb397ef8
- Realised P&L
- $-8.01
- Volume
- $99.25
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $3.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.480 | $1.66 | +$0.14 |
| Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.720 | $1.52 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.78at 0.359Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$2.07at 0.429Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.93at 0.440US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$1.61at 0.490S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 20?
- +$1.22at 0.560Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:31 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7199996968 | $1.52 |
| 09-18 11:34 | Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.4399999305 | $1.52 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.52 |
| 09-16 15:26 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7299999232 | $1.52 |
| 09-16 06:58 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.52 |
| 09-10 09:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.52 |
| 09-10 08:29 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998557 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 23:10 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3499999309 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 14:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4399999305 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 04:26 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5899998836 | $1.52 |
| 09-08 14:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6599999392 | $1.52 |
| 09-08 05:15 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999705 | $1.52 |
| 09-01 18:12 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 1? | BUY | 0.6649999366 | $1.52 |
| 09-01 07:56 | Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.2999999013 | $1.52 |
| 08-30 23:45 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999062 | $1.52 |