PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x815692581c288675576761572f570395cb397ef8

Realised P&L
$-8.01
Volume
$99.25
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$3.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.4400.480$1.66+$0.14
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.7200.720$1.52+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 22:31Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.7199996968$1.52
09-18 11:34Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.4399999305$1.52
09-16 23:27Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17?BUY0.5$1.52
09-16 15:26Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?BUY0.7299999232$1.52
09-16 06:58Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.75$1.52
09-10 09:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.5$1.52
09-10 08:29Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.5099998557$1.52
09-09 23:10Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?BUY0.3499999309$1.52
09-09 14:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.4399999305$1.52
09-09 04:26US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5899998836$1.52
09-08 14:20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6599999392$1.52
09-08 05:15Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.2799999705$1.52
09-01 18:12WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 1?BUY0.6649999366$1.52
09-01 07:56Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?BUY0.2999999013$1.52
08-30 23:45Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?BUY0.2299999062$1.52