0x81529ca89509fbaf1eedd1f38b3e957372e75b51
- Realised P&L
- $-6.9k
- Volume
- $1.86M
- Markets traded
- 5,301
- Open portfolio
- $0.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,301
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF América vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.398 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$121.22 |
| Portland Timbers vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.425 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$86.80 |
| Academia Puerto Cabello vs. Caracas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Austin FC vs. Club Tijuana: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.662 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$201.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.094New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5
- +$425.93at 0.542Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$356.40at 0.410Fortaleza CEIF vs. Deportivo Pereira: O/U 0.5
- +$338.48at 0.465Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5
- +$334.74at 0.614Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 04:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999946 | $16.82 |
| 08-07 04:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 12AM ET | SELL | 0.0185857143 | $13.01 |
| 08-07 04:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9095892395 | $319.76 |
| 08-07 04:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5476252038 | $188.08 |
| 08-07 04:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999977 | $11.92 |
| 08-07 04:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.755417417 | $24.59 |
| 08-07 04:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8077671462 | $98.36 |
| 08-07 04:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.7458155216 | $422.31 |
| 08-07 04:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | SELL | 0.1126195495 | $30.45 |
| 08-07 04:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5250205708 | $200.00 |
| 08-07 04:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | SELL | 0.1142039476 | $27.14 |
| 08-07 04:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.69877714 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.554735193 | $150.00 |
| 08-07 04:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $2.39 |
| 08-07 04:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.7765909346 | $264.25 |