0x81529ca89509fbaf1eedd1f38b3e957372e75b51
0x81529ca89509fbaf1eedd1f38b3e957372e75b51
- Realised P&L
- $-65.3k
- Volume
- $3.36M
- Markets traded
- 9,742
- Open portfolio
- $0.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,742
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol FC vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.001 | $0.20 | −$207.80 |
| Real Cundinamarca vs. Deportes Quindio: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.001 | $0.20 | −$203.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.099New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5
- +$1.0kat 0.340Falkenbergs FF vs. Ostersunds FK: O/U 1.5
- +$887.19at 0.357Genoa CFC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 1.5
- +$859.77at 0.367San Jose Earthquakes vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5
- +$757.75at 0.448Persipura Jayapura vs. Kendal Tornado FC: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:50 | Real Cartagena FC vs. Envigado FC: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.9909710376 | $609.04 |
| 09-22 02:01 | Real Cartagena FC vs. Envigado FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5199999966 | $62.00 |
| 09-22 01:52 | Real Cartagena FC vs. Envigado FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.4037419987 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 01:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 9PM ET | SELL | 0.0528538638 | $10.36 |
| 09-22 01:41 | CA Lanús vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $258.75 |
| 09-22 01:03 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $3.93 |
| 09-22 00:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5394881233 | $53.00 |
| 09-22 00:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 00:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 00:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4987084862 | $106.00 |
| 09-22 00:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 09-22 00:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.870956855 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 00:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7013930114 | $235.11 |
| 09-22 00:35 | CA Lanús vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6099999987 | $158.00 |
| 09-22 00:31 | Buenos Aires 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Justo | SELL | 0.999 | $499.96 |