0x814FDfC105Cf40f110bF88Df163965cfAd3c6915-1772892014758
0x814fdfc105cf40f110bf88df163965cfad3c6915
- Realised P&L
- $-181.49
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.75at 0.646Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$69.00at 0.783Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?
- +$23.00at 0.854Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
- +$20.70at 0.932GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$18.00at 0.745Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 00:09 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.949 | $26.57 |
| 05-19 09:46 | GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.945 | $3.50 |
| 05-01 00:23 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.998 | $399.20 |
| 04-30 13:12 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7300997915 | $98.04 |
| 04-22 00:42 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.53 |
| 04-16 07:23 | USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7730013001 | $77.29 |
| 04-13 23:59 | Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5100335 | $102.01 |
| 04-13 23:58 | Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.071766 | $7.18 |
| 04-06 00:51 | Concrete FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9725058464 | $53.85 |
| 04-03 23:02 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $26.40 |
| 04-02 14:30 | USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.990683527 | $202.91 |
| 03-31 13:19 | GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9559490399 | $258.87 |
| 03-30 23:43 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | SELL | 0.998 | $124.28 |
| 03-30 23:43 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 03-30 23:43 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.995 | $386.06 |