PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x814FDfC105Cf40f110bF88Df163965cfAd3c6915-1772892014758

0x814fdfc105cf40f110bf88df163965cfad3c6915

Realised P&L
$-181.49
Volume
$22.7k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9440.814$709.81$113.65
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.9240.777$388.50$73.80
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8300.815$244.50$4.50
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8600.840$168.00$4.00
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.7120.780$147.97+$12.87
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8970.815$86.88$8.80
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8450.739$81.23$11.71
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9400.390$78.00$110.00
Concrete FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7380.972$53.93+$13.01
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9330.830$36.76$4.59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 17? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$23.60
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 17? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$2.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 00:09Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.949$26.57
05-19 09:46GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.945$3.50
05-01 00:23MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?SELL0.998$399.20
04-30 13:12MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.7300997915$98.04
04-22 00:42Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.91$1.53
04-16 07:23USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.7730013001$77.29
04-13 23:59Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.5100335$102.01
04-13 23:58Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.071766$7.18
04-06 00:51Concrete FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.9725058464$53.85
04-03 23:02US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.88$26.40
04-02 14:30USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.990683527$202.91
03-31 13:19GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.9559490399$258.87
03-30 23:43Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?SELL0.998$124.28
03-30 23:43Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?SELL0.999$299.70
03-30 23:43Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.995$386.06