Frans00
0x814c9f4536f7858edbd0cfa7ddca0086e3adca7d
- Realised P&L
- $-105.79
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $13.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.44at 0.153Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
- +$2.33at 0.853US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$1.98at 0.933Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.933Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?
- +$1.57at 0.933Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 11:27 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.2899999674 | $1.60 |
| 10-16 11:27 | Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.23 |
| 10-16 11:25 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 11:24 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 11:20 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | BUY | 0.975 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 11:20 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.99 |
| 10-16 11:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 15:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.0327130443 | $1.71 |
| 07-31 15:02 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.78 |
| 07-11 06:53 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1159999473 | $1.77 |
| 07-11 06:52 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 06:50 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.162499936 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 06:50 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2399998892 | $1.30 |
| 06-14 07:13 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY | 0.549999986 | $7.84 |
| 06-13 08:01 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY | 0.6799999495 | $9.70 |