zuker14
0x814712d94b00008c7fdd6c002b10418fa5694fbf
- Realised P&L
- $-28.4k
- Volume
- $394.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.038 | $4.4k | −$17.5k |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · Yes | 0.559 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.9k |
| Was Milei hacked? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.3kat 0.600Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
- +$9.4kat 0.600Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$-981.65at 0.254Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 00:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $270.08 |
| 05-29 00:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1597050172 | $1.9k |
| 05-29 00:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $302.46 |
| 05-08 13:52 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1928529062 | $12.0k |
| 05-08 13:52 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $221.29 |
| 05-07 01:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $942.83 |
| 05-07 01:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.9k |
| 05-07 01:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $74.71 |
| 03-26 09:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $160.00 |
| 03-18 17:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $1000.00 |
| 02-20 02:05 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999999 | $2.0k |
| 12-02 13:29 | Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | BUY | 0.2313396411 | $567.61 |
| 10-27 00:39 | Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.7k |
| 10-26 18:32 | Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.5k |
| 10-24 13:00 | Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | SELL | 0.2411550056 | $1.3k |