Lord-Yopta
0x814405ac1468cc0ab948759f1b50a774e0334c8a
- Realised P&L
- $-75.95
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $53.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.472 | 0.290 | $43.01 | −$26.99 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.075 | $5.45 | −$7.55 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.274 | 0.045 | $4.20 | −$21.40 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.011 | $1.09 | −$9.91 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.83at 0.782Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$0.37at 0.066Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 14:24 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.00 |
| 07-10 14:23 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.00 |
| 07-10 14:22 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | SELL | 0.0680265618 | $14.27 |
| 07-02 19:32 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4529565221 | $20.00 |
| 06-21 21:05 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999885 | $11.60 |
| 06-21 21:02 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1057980135 | $11.00 |
| 06-21 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 20:51 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |
| 05-30 00:53 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.0662847135 | $13.90 |
| 05-30 00:52 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.1788990729 | $13.00 |
| 05-30 00:45 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0343688531 | $13.00 |