Den4ikForCrypto
0x813f7e94394f27fb3a68d772e343277169ea20c6
- Realised P&L
- $-25.78
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $16.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.155 | $8.60 | −$1.40 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.151 | $7.43 | −$2.57 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first? · 120k | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.10at 0.190Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$13.40at 0.325Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?
- +$6.14at 0.370Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$5.92at 0.790Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$3.14at 0.791Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 01:42 | Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.62 | $16.75 |
| 07-22 02:10 | Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1802656406 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 16:43 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2039999873 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 16:36 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7741801254 | $40.75 |
| 03-17 02:17 | Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 03-17 02:16 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 03-17 02:15 | Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.29 | $10.82 |
| 03-17 02:14 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.80 |
| 03-17 02:14 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.423 | $13.23 |
| 03-17 02:14 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4132 | $12.91 |
| 01-29 06:01 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7199999945 | $26.00 |
| 01-13 07:39 | Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6699999973 | $25.00 |
| 12-30 09:19 | No airdrop in 2025? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.01 |
| 12-21 15:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.995999976 | $20.45 |
| 12-21 15:01 | No airdrop in 2025? | BUY | 0.9069999275 | $10.00 |