mc10
0x812a04da4d914afa8a17ff6bbe37bb61995c56e8
- Realised P&L
- $-40.52
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 445
- Open portfolio
- $8.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded445
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.72at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?
- +$2.54at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 24?
- +$2.30at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?
- +$2.30at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 21?
- +$2.30at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |