PrincessCaro
0x8119010a6e589062aa03583bb3f39ca632d9f887
- Realised P&L
- $6.08M
- Volume
- $23.54M
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar25.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.25Mat 0.536Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$817.2kat 0.463Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
- +$575.9kat 0.465Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
- +$462.8kat 0.344Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$403.5kat 0.551Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 20:19 | Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.44 | $20.8k |
| 10-17 19:03 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.605 | $26.2k |
| 10-17 19:01 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.611 | $4.9k |
| 10-17 19:01 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.9k |
| 10-17 19:00 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.61 | $5.0k |
| 10-17 18:59 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6096295839 | $11.5k |
| 10-17 18:51 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.61 | $8.9k |
| 10-17 18:42 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.613 | $310.02 |
| 10-17 18:41 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.613 | $5.6k |
| 10-17 18:34 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.612 | $927.65 |
| 10-17 18:32 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.61 | $4.6k |
| 10-17 18:31 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6097945717 | $21.5k |
| 10-17 18:31 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.607 | $5.0k |
| 10-17 18:30 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6062693485 | $10.2k |
| 10-17 18:30 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.605 | $6.7k |