PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x81175e3de287662a583cf78fee05c8258dd1d7a0

Realised P&L
$3.00
Volume
$569.00
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$71.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration79.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9100.966$14.49+$0.84
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7600.920$11.04+$1.92
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.4590.911$10.94+$5.43
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · No0.6130.909$10.00+$3.26
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9310.971$6.80+$0.28
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9040.964$4.82+$0.30
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8300.935$4.67+$0.53
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? · Yes0.1000.085$1.61$0.28
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2140.080$1.60$2.68
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3530.091$1.55$4.46
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1000.034$1.09$2.11
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0630.029$0.96$1.12
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1680.129$0.77$0.24
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1900.085$0.51$0.63
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$0.39$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 09:06Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.168$1.01
07-12 08:14Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.315$2.52
07-07 23:01U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?BUY0.1$1.90
07-07 01:21Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.14$1.26
07-04 09:44Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.19$1.14
06-23 13:36Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.057$1.03
06-15 17:50Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.34$1.70
06-11 09:56Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.29$1.74
06-05 03:33Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$6.75
06-01 07:52Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.31$1.55
05-20 23:18Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.931$6.52
05-20 23:18Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.07$1.05
05-20 23:17Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$4.15
05-20 23:17Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.17$1.02
05-20 23:17Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.9$5.40