0x81175e3de287662a583cf78fee05c8258dd1d7a0
- Realised P&L
- $3.00
- Volume
- $569.00
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $71.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.35at 0.500Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$3.57at 0.300Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$0.55at 0.853China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.24at 0.180Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.750Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 09:06 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.168 | $1.01 |
| 07-12 08:14 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.315 | $2.52 |
| 07-07 23:01 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.90 |
| 07-07 01:21 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.26 |
| 07-04 09:44 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 06-23 13:36 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.057 | $1.03 |
| 06-15 17:50 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 06-11 09:56 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.74 |
| 06-05 03:33 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.75 |
| 06-01 07:52 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 05-20 23:18 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.931 | $6.52 |
| 05-20 23:18 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 05-20 23:17 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 05-20 23:17 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 05-20 23:17 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.40 |