PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

erfhgbedrh

0x81139e0a564b00037986cbfaaacbfdcd51267f3b

Realised P&L
$-217.07
Volume
$9.2k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$663.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · No0.7800.770$261.80−$3.40
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9300.961$220.91+$7.01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5920.517$180.95−$26.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 06:28Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$11.74
05-15 11:49Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.912$820.80
04-13 08:14Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.919$459.50
03-29 02:28Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?BUY0.5$350.00
03-23 07:41Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.791$476.54
03-19 11:54Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.799$487.39