PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Guy013

0x8111a3bec53074fa3c486db6338334f0b9f4c153

Realised P&L
$-50.95
Volume
$18.9k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$0.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Exact Score: Georgia 2 - 1 Ukraine? · Yes0.1000.006$0.30−$4.70
Exact Score: Georgia 3 - 3 Ukraine? · Yes0.0080.001$0.13−$1.87
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$80.00
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 Portugal? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$9.92
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.0910.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$25.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$110.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.3120.000$0.00−$49.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$25.78
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$8.80
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 16:20Exact Score: Georgia 2 - 1 Ukraine?BUY0.1$5.00
09-28 16:20Exact Score: Georgia 3 - 3 Ukraine?BUY0.008$2.00
09-27 19:05Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Portugal?BUY0.1399999989$5.00
09-27 19:04Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 Portugal?BUY0.0809999988$5.00
09-27 18:50Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Portugal?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
07-19 21:54Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0775000012$5.00
07-19 21:32Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?SELL0.999$582.75
07-19 18:24Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.011$5.78
07-19 18:15Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.012$5.00
07-19 18:14Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.0313172832$10.00
07-19 18:02Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0309999988$25.00
07-19 17:53Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0299999971$10.00
07-19 17:51Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.1199999981$50.00
07-19 17:50Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0369999988$30.00
07-19 17:27Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0599999946$10.00