Aclimatao
0x81100229224b2d7f96012a07b58f9348a6dac1ba
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $196.6k
- Markets traded
- 709
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded709
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$338.77at 0.801Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 1?
- +$318.46at 0.719Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 1?
- +$264.58at 0.667Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 5?
- +$259.62at 0.674Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 5?
- +$257.59at 0.475Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.6 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.68 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.53 |
| 09-18 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.38 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |