PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Aclimatao

0x81100229224b2d7f96012a07b58f9348a6dac1ba

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$196.6k
Markets traded
709
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded709
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? · No0.9690.950$956.36$19.60
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 18? · No0.5061.000$15.80+$7.80
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19? · No0.4860.445$13.73$1.26
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19? · No0.3640.445$12.22+$2.21
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18? · No0.4101.000$12.19+$7.19
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? · No0.4160.960$11.71+$6.64
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18? · No0.4601.000$10.86+$5.86
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20? · No0.5200.535$10.29+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 20? · No0.7150.700$9.79$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 18? · No0.6101.000$8.19+$3.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? · No0.4301.000$6.90+$3.93
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19? · No0.5800.655$5.64+$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18? · No0.5600.615$5.49+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20? · No0.6000.635$5.29+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19? · No0.7400.765$5.17+$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 20:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20?BUY0.6$5.00
09-18 20:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19?BUY0.51$5.00
09-18 20:00Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 19?BUY0.68$5.00
09-18 20:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?BUY0.53$5.00
09-18 20:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19?BUY0.58$4.99
09-18 20:00Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.54$5.00
09-18 20:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 20?BUY0.65$5.00
09-18 20:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19?BUY0.42$5.00
09-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?BUY0.65$5.00
09-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19?BUY0.74$5.00
09-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 20?BUY0.72$5.00
09-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.47$2.53
09-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19?BUY0.49$4.99
09-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19?BUY0.38$5.00
09-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18?BUY0.5$5.00