ameri.v2-1
0x810530878672b1c12beeb235b7d6ad13dc572702
- Realised P&L
- $-12.28
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 426
- Open portfolio
- $19.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded426
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $4.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will Anna Jähnke be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? · No | 0.995 | 0.995 | $4.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will Trump say "Pirate" this week? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.991 | $4.96 | +$0.01 |
| Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.900 | $4.50 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.95at 0.011XRP Up or Down - October 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
- +$2.47at 0.620Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- +$2.32at 0.535ZCash Up or Down - October 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$1.17at 0.629Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$0.99at 0.802ZCash Up or Down - October 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 18:08 | Will Trump say "Pirate" this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-20 17:59 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 17:39 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.89 |
| 10-20 17:11 | Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-20 15:47 | Will Anna Jähnke be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? | BUY | 0.9949998764 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 15:25 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 15:06 | Will the announcement not happen? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 13:31 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-20 12:59 | Will General Motors say "Battery" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9889999988 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 11:26 | Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 11:26 | Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.9959998331 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 11:20 | ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 10:57 | Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $10.5B? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 07:55 | ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-20 06:05 | ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |