0x80f85E19D25b0F997C44Eb1F0551eadF68357448-1763420406976
0x80f85e19d25b0f997c44eb1f0551eadf68357448
- Realised P&L
- $-11.4k
- Volume
- $260.3k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $67.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.095 | $38.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? · No | 0.920 | 1.000 | $29.00 | +$2.32 |
| Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.702 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.60 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes | 0.595 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$438.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.268Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.3kat 0.803Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.3kat 0.247Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
- +$1.0kat 0.411Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?
- +$781.85at 0.050Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-10 21:51 | Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.997 | $7.0k |
| 12-18 16:07 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.7733244211 | $146.93 |
| 12-18 02:16 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.25 | $750.00 |
| 12-18 00:08 | Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.013 | $28.56 |
| 12-18 00:08 | Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.012 | $9.00 |
| 12-18 00:04 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks? | BUY | 0.91 | $39.76 |
| 12-14 19:46 | Jets vs. Jaguars: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 12-14 19:43 | Jets vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 12-14 19:43 | Jets vs. Jaguars: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 12-14 15:40 | Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | SELL | 0.012 | $4.80 |
| 12-14 15:40 | Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | SELL | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 12-13 17:29 | Will Kenny Dillingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team? | BUY | 0.64 | $71.04 |
| 12-13 08:10 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.993 | $99.30 |
| 12-13 06:52 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 12-13 06:28 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.4141300061 | $74.76 |