5446735
0x80f77df34d66a15f36a832dae4c61d9316ca0d6f
- Realised P&L
- $-308.26
- Volume
- $140.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,056
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,056
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.73at 0.006Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?
- +$117.55at 0.003Will Bitcoin dip to $97k November 3-9?
- +$111.90at 0.188Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?
- +$97.43at 0.091Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
- +$92.06at 0.013Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-06 03:10 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 12-06 03:10 | Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 12-06 03:10 | "The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 45 and 59? | BUY | 0.82 | $1.38 |
| 12-06 03:00 | Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 12-06 02:55 | Will Brian Armstrong say "Token Sale" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 12-06 02:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 12-06 02:51 | Will Ja Morant be traded in 2025? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 12-06 02:51 | Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.81 |
| 12-06 02:51 | Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.81 |
| 12-06 02:51 | Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 12-06 02:51 | Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 12-06 02:51 | Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 12-06 02:49 | Will Texas Tech win the 2025 Big 12 Championship Game? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 12-06 02:08 | Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.89 |
| 12-06 02:08 | Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.89 |