PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

5446735

0x80f77df34d66a15f36a832dae4c61d9316ca0d6f

Realised P&L
$-326.53
Volume
$133.6k
Markets traded
4,056
Open portfolio
$203.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,056
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · No0.8790.993$23.21+$2.64
Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6070.983$12.99+$4.97
Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.988$9.88+$1.38
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.7770.978$9.78+$2.01
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? · No0.4000.930$9.30+$5.30
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5101.000$8.42+$4.13
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · No0.6860.940$7.29+$1.97
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7010.987$6.76+$1.96
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? · No0.7950.880$6.20+$0.60
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? · Yes0.6820.875$5.88+$1.30
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? · Yes0.3501.000$5.00+$3.25
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? · No0.8751.000$5.00+$0.63
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.992$4.96+$1.26
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.9300.986$4.93+$0.28
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.984$4.92+$1.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-06 03:10Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.33$1.65
12-06 03:10Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?BUY0.84$4.20
12-06 03:10"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 45 and 59?BUY0.82$1.38
12-06 03:00Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?BUY0.992$4.96
12-06 02:55Will Brian Armstrong say "Token Sale" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?BUY0.29$1.45
12-06 02:55Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$3.95
12-06 02:51Will Ja Morant be traded in 2025?BUY0.86$4.30
12-06 02:51Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?BUY0.963$4.81
12-06 02:51Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?BUY0.963$4.81
12-06 02:51Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY0.24$1.20
12-06 02:51Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.54$2.70
12-06 02:51Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?BUY0.95$4.75
12-06 02:49Will Texas Tech win the 2025 Big 12 Championship Game?BUY0.22$1.10
12-06 02:08Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?BUY0.978$4.89
12-06 02:08Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?BUY0.978$4.89