PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

5446735

0x80f77df34d66a15f36a832dae4c61d9316ca0d6f

Realised P&L
$-308.26
Volume
$140.8k
Markets traded
4,056
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,056
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31? · Yes0.8481.000$155.00+$23.55
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · No0.8790.987$23.08+$2.51
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31? · No0.9701.000$22.59+$0.67
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff? · Yes0.3231.000$20.00+$13.55
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? · No0.6701.000$20.00+$6.60
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in December? · No0.6751.000$20.00+$6.50
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025? · No0.9611.000$18.74+$0.73
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · No0.9101.000$18.20+$1.63
Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9361.000$17.56+$1.12
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.3231.000$15.54+$10.52
Will Justin Tucker sign with an NFL team this year? · No0.2471.000$15.00+$11.30
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy? · No0.7461.000$15.00+$3.81
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in December? · No0.6231.000$15.00+$5.65
Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025? · No0.9821.000$14.95+$0.26
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025? · Yes0.9611.000$14.42+$0.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-06 03:10Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.33$1.65
12-06 03:10Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?BUY0.84$4.20
12-06 03:10"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 45 and 59?BUY0.82$1.38
12-06 03:00Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?BUY0.992$4.96
12-06 02:55Will Brian Armstrong say "Token Sale" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?BUY0.29$1.45
12-06 02:55Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$3.95
12-06 02:51Will Ja Morant be traded in 2025?BUY0.86$4.30
12-06 02:51Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?BUY0.963$4.81
12-06 02:51Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?BUY0.963$4.81
12-06 02:51Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY0.24$1.20
12-06 02:51Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.54$2.70
12-06 02:51Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?BUY0.95$4.75
12-06 02:49Will Texas Tech win the 2025 Big 12 Championship Game?BUY0.22$1.10
12-06 02:08Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?BUY0.978$4.89
12-06 02:08Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?BUY0.978$4.89
Trader 5446735 · PolyBot