gfdgfd443
0x80e5406ead8a8315fce1bb50787210509c224580
- Realised P&L
- $-35.60
- Volume
- $602.68
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $0.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.159 | $0.16 | −$0.07 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,500,000 and 1,550,000? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.035 | $0.04 | −$0.25 |
| Will Russell Westbrook play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.21 |
| Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.210Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 15%-20%?
- +$0.00at 0.710Will Jürgen Klopp attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
- +$0.00at 0.830Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 25%-30%?
- +$0.00at 0.780Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?
- +$-1.05at 0.454Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 14:52 | Will Russell Westbrook play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 10-26 14:52 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.52 |
| 10-26 14:52 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.17 |
| 10-26 14:52 | Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 10-26 14:52 | Will Kate Scott attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-26 14:52 | Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |