gandalf.
0x80e1756c3b906cbf34e18b2cae9cd423f30a566d
- Realised P&L
- $-66.21
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $5.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.27at 0.454Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 6?
- +$9.59at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?
- +$8.70at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 3?
- +$8.08at 0.397Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 3?
- +$8.06at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.70 |
| 10-15 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4993969546 | $2.65 |
| 10-14 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.1993797076 | $10.80 |
| 10-14 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.1838476691 | $5.46 |
| 10-14 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-14 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.43 |
| 10-14 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.40 |
| 10-14 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.5369999664 | $5.22 |
| 10-13 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.5841117368 | $4.96 |
| 10-13 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4699999926 | $5.10 |
| 10-13 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.8099999809 | $4.25 |
| 10-12 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.5999999531 | $5.12 |
| 10-12 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4299999433 | $2.35 |
| 10-10 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.6999999054 | $3.70 |
| 10-10 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.3069095332 | $1.75 |