PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gandalf.

0x80e1756c3b906cbf34e18b2cae9cd423f30a566d

Realised P&L
$-66.21
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$5.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 21? · Yes0.0300.055$2.20+$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 20? · Yes0.0300.335$1.70+$1.55
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 19? · Yes0.0300.033$1.32+$0.12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 20? · Yes0.0300.005$0.28−$1.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$5.76
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 5? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$4.83
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 6? · Yes0.7440.000$0.00−$4.74
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$4.62
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 19? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.20
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 17? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.20
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? · No0.4300.000$0.00−$2.35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 7? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$4.83
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 6? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$5.36
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$4.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 06:43Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 15?BUY0.5$2.70
10-15 06:32Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 15?BUY0.4993969546$2.65
10-14 21:46Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?BUY0.1993797076$10.80
10-14 21:46Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 14?BUY0.1838476691$5.46
10-14 13:08Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 14?SELL0.001$0.01
10-14 13:08Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14?SELL0.04$0.43
10-14 12:06Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14?BUY0.5$5.40
10-14 12:06Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 14?BUY0.5369999664$5.22
10-13 06:15Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13?BUY0.5841117368$4.96
10-13 05:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?BUY0.4699999926$5.10
10-13 05:05Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?BUY0.8099999809$4.25
10-12 19:08Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 12?BUY0.5999999531$5.12
10-12 16:12Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?BUY0.4299999433$2.35
10-10 07:07Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?BUY0.6999999054$3.70
10-10 02:58Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10?BUY0.3069095332$1.75