Biggb597
0x80e0b585d9ffdff13fd03d0c4753f12eb1e31d95
- Realised P&L
- $-102.58
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $4.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? · Girl | 0.500 | 0.495 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.065 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.615 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.029 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 10? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14? · No | 0.151 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.54at 0.867Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 9?
- +$8.96at 0.690Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
- +$6.17at 0.930Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?
- +$5.62at 0.940Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?
- +$4.55at 0.939Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 11:46 | Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:30 | Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:18 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.0949999981 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 12:00 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $2.43 |
| 09-18 06:53 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 06:28 | Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 11:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.9689999777 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 06:46 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 03-16 06:46 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22? | BUY | 0.5899999961 | $29.00 |
| 03-16 06:44 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.95 |
| 03-14 07:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.98 |
| 03-13 08:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13? | BUY | 0.5190003279 | $67.82 |
| 03-12 17:58 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 03-11 16:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12? | BUY | 0.8899999991 | $92.55 |
| 03-11 15:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |